Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 336.193572 380.603760 429.737420 488.310486 556.469810 633.560986 727.747925
2025-11-16 268.123383 326.170620 396.077599 487.200278 603.908835 749.817903 948.315779
2025-11-23 228.069203 290.765660 370.615710 481.160263 632.427032 835.411658 1133.987093
2025-11-30 202.960498 268.667691 356.222225 483.580832 667.758941 930.250989 1343.487192
2025-12-07 180.298753 246.094570 337.079865 474.987204 683.935616 997.497203 1521.267905
2025-12-14 163.697123 229.554939 323.672479 471.692875 705.665146 1073.867855 1724.016586
2025-12-21 145.984799 209.327748 302.352790 453.245275 700.454812 1105.644048 1856.466598
2025-12-28 139.183683 204.385026 302.984590 468.367951 750.161988 1233.348560 2178.655595
2026-01-04 133.945473 201.161970 305.670423 486.677453 807.026171 1381.133252 2566.651201
2026-01-11 125.976035 192.835111 299.277340 488.788161 835.427297 1481.227545 2880.557096
2026-01-18 116.606628 181.413011 286.694562 478.641250 839.927009 1536.304841 3111.147442
2026-01-25 108.423328 171.252557 275.270925 469.201268 844.267265 1591.143693 3351.659343
2026-02-01 104.402112 167.870532 275.327129 481.080384 892.218469 1743.961165 3856.710209
2026-02-08 98.503173 160.825052 268.391795 479.165687 912.514982 1842.149439 4255.715898
2026-02-15 92.602493 153.300221 259.914188 473.281530 923.646468 1921.668035 4626.582083
2026-02-22 88.416840 148.476033 255.895789 475.653743 952.464676 2046.010139 5149.470381
2026-03-01 83.165453 141.344401 247.002372 467.224927 956.423260 2112.080265 5526.227260
2026-03-08 79.021619 135.945686 240.941419 463.993603 971.617005 2208.170621 6018.528884
2026-03-15 73.430885 127.496281 228.400390 445.897445 950.152614 2207.972572 6213.511171
2026-03-22 72.067205 126.896998 231.085816 460.732198 1008.658607 2426.878421 7183.876164
2026-03-29 71.083217 126.939396 235.019036 478.690975 1077.377909 2687.225628 8388.738846
2026-04-05 68.495720 123.689822 232.035812 480.761105 1106.446355 2841.811110 9269.318192
2026-04-12 64.907181 118.247599 224.155904 470.808992 1103.115797 2901.242898 9809.232587